Seminar 6.8.2019: Nowcasting methods and Finnish business cycles

Programme and links to the papers closely related to the talks:

*Introduction: Henri Nyberg (University of Turku) ”Introduction to nowcasting methods and Finnish business cycles”

Nowcasting methods

*Paolo Fornaro (ETLA): ”Nowcasting Finnish economic activity: a machine learning approach”

*Petteri Juvonen (Bank of Finland and University of Helsinki): ”Nowcasting the Finnish economy with a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model”

*Jetro Anttonen (ETLA and University of Helsinki): ”ETLAnow project – Nowcasting unemployment with alternative data sources”

Dating and predicting Finnish business cycle turning points

*Harri Pönkä (Ministry of Finance): ”Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle”

*Wilma Nissilä (Bank of Finland and University of Turku): ”Dating and predicting Finnish business cycle states with monthly data”